danalwyn: (Default)
danalwyn ([personal profile] danalwyn) wrote2006-10-08 10:02 pm
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All Fall Down

Well, North Korea has the bomb.

I'll wait to read the technical info as it comes in, but the initial results do not look promising. And just on the tails of China and South Korea claiming that this cannot be tolerated.

This is yet another bit of news that does not belong in the "Making the World a Better Place" category.

[identity profile] aries-ascendant.livejournal.com 2006-10-09 03:19 pm (UTC)(link)
Just curious, but what do you think will happen next?

(and when I say curious, I mean "I can't look away from the cobra" )

[identity profile] danalwyn.livejournal.com 2006-10-09 08:58 pm (UTC)(link)
Probably not much. Some sanctions from the UN perhaps, because Kim has managed to throw his defiance in the face of every major power of the civilized world, but not much more.

Kim's military is not in the shape to do anything with the bomb, and the weapon is rather wimpy. Don't look for many aggressive maneuvers.

The problem is now political opinion in China, which got snubbed by the Koreans, and public opinion in Japan. Japan may decide to arm themselves over this, which would sned all of East Asia into a tizzy. That's the wild card in this situation, that and how China responds at the UN.

[identity profile] bladed-crescent.livejournal.com 2006-10-09 08:56 pm (UTC)(link)
They've almost got The Bomb. Right now they've got The Bomb That Doesn't Work.

Still, bad fuju all around.

[identity profile] danalwyn.livejournal.com 2006-10-09 08:59 pm (UTC)(link)
Well, it may be a fizzle, or it may be a trick (i.e., no bomb at all). The question is, will the other bombs be fizzles, and if a fizzle is 550 tons of TNT equivalent, is that still enough to serve as a deterrent. So far, the answer to both questions is probably yes, but we will see soon enough.