So, To Specify

[danalwyn]

Perhaps to be specific, when I said there would be no war in Ukraine I should have said there will be no western war in Ukraine. Whether there will be a long drawn-out revolt and proggle in Eastern Ukraine is still up for debate, but the West seems particularly uninvolved. Perhaps luckily, for once nobody in the West seems too interested in fighting a war on Russia's doorstop. We may be happy to encourage the Ukrainians to fight one, but we're staying out of it - at least directly.

As to what the Ukrainians and the Russians do, well, that's largely up to them.

Comments

[silverjackal]

I cringe whenever I hear fresh news from that quadrant. Whatever comes of it, nothing will be good. The only exception is perhaps the surprising display of common sense from the West by staying out of it. :(

[danalwyn]

Well, at this point there's quite a lot that could be good if people would stop being stupid. We're already so deep in the hole that ... well, you know. But the status quo after this mess will be worse than the status quo before this mess. Strangely enough, for everyone I believe.