silverjackal: (Default)
silverjackal ([personal profile] silverjackal) wrote in [personal profile] danalwyn 2011-10-21 12:02 am (UTC)

Perhaps I'm overly pessimistic, but I expect the country to go to shit, and possibly to destabilize its' neighbors [even further]. The problem with Arab Spring as a whole is that power was held very tightly, and people as a whole are not educated in how to manage modern infrastructure. Take away the dictator and what is left? The armies? The Islamic fundamentalist militias? The tribal factions?

Egypt is flailing on the brink, and if the Egyptians can't pull it together odds are none of the other rebelling nations can either. Don't get me wrong, I don't like to see them under the yoke, with their citizenry suffering. I just don't think there is a better alternative necessarily available without considerably more tribulation. Possibly for generations. :(

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